I seem to have caused a bit of controversy over the weekend in response to an email regarding Indian Point and power generation alternatives in North Rockland, namely Stony Point. It seems there are about as many opinions on the issue as there people to give them, and I’ve now received everything from, “You’re absolutely right,” and “You’re part right and part wrong,” to “Everyone is going to die because of people like you.”
I’ll include the text of my email below, and you can form your own judgment (that is what I was recommending, after all). But first, let me state three things: (1) I appreciate the environment, and don’t want it harmed; (2) I appreciate the lives of other people even more, and don’t want anyone harmed; (3) I do not have the authority to close a power plant, nor do I have the capability or authority to start a new one… and no other single person does either. A project of that magnitude requires the cooporation of both government and business, and so I realize that legislation, regulation, negotiation, and public discourse are all required. But that doesn’t mean it needs to happen on the back of this nuclear crisis in Japan. In fact, any efforts made while that scenario is still actively playing itself out will inevitably be charged with emotion. That said, here’s what I wrote:
Rarely do I feel the need to respond to “noise” — and I consider the U.S. nuclear power scare to be nothing more than this week’s apocalypse du jour, and therefore nearly 100% noise — but it appears almost everyone is ‘off the mark’ on this issue (my opinion, of course), and so I’m responding.
Supervisor Sherwood writes, “The urgency of the disaster in Japan, where systems and redundancies have apparently all been overcome by the forces of nature, proves we must eliminate Indian Point…” Excuse me. Japan’s current challenge at Fukushima is serious, but it proves nothing regarding Indian Point in particular, or regarding nuclear power facilities in the U.S. in general. Current estimates indicate that a tragically high 15,000 people are likely to die in Japan as a result of the disaster; that is, the natural disaster, not the nuclear disaster. As far as I’ve heard, nobody has died as yet from radiation exposure, and should that number go from zero to 300 over the coming months, that will still have meant that about fifty times as many will have died from the earthquake and tsunami. Said differently, the earthquake and tsunami could kill five-thousand percent more people than the would-be worst nuclear disaster in 25 years.
With the proper perspective of the real disaster firmly in mind, it would be more accurate, and more rational, to suggest that the entire population of California be permanently relocated to other parts of the U.S., so as to reduce our country’s future risk of death from earthquake and tsunami, than to suggest that nuclear power be hastily abandoned. To see it any other way is to ignore facts, ignore statistics, and ignore reason. So if we’re not going to call for an abandonment of California (perhaps Florida too, what with the hurricanes), then we can’t rightly call for the hasty abandonment of nuclear power. Supervisor Sherwood’s general desire to see the resources of Stony Point utilized for commerce, for power generation, and for municipal revenue, is both logical and commendable. Attaching that endeavor to an anti-nuclear sentiment, however, reduces the overall credibility of the town’s efforts.
With rapidly advancing technology, should we maintain current-day nuclear technology forever? Of course not. That would be foolish. But to abandon existing facilities while they remain more energy efficient, more cost efficient, and ultimately more environmentally friendly than many other power producing facilities here in the U.S. (such as coal and petroleum) is equally foolish.
Projects taken up in haste rarely turn out well. Projects taken up through government mandate or subsidy rarely stay profitable. It wasn’t so much the deregulation of power production which caused a failure in North Rockland and elsewhere, but the many years of arbitrary revenue- and cost-shifting from regulations which should never have been in place to begin with. If we are to learn anything from that experience, it’s that the only solution to attaining, and then retaining, a strong commercial base in North Rockland is by offering an environment where, (a) taxes are reasonable and are expected to stay reasonable; (b) land, building, and operations regulations are reasonable and are expected to stay reasonable; and (c) the products or services proposed for production and delivery have a marketable value and demand in the region, and are expected to stay marketable in the region.
If power generation companies aren’t knocking at the door of Town Hall for an opportunity to set up shop, it can only be assumed that they do not believe the current or expected-future environment in Stony Point meets the above criteria. Now, in absence of the town’s ability to selectively choose from among the “highest bidder,” it may, at its peril, proactively seek out such opportunities. But we know from history that such efforts are always fraught with potential conflicts, and are almost always shortsighted — “How can we improve things right now?” rather than, “How can we improve things long term?” Only the residents, therefore, can ultimately assess whether such efforts, if any, are directed toward long-term solutions and not temporary fixes, and that’s only provided they have the information, opportunity, and inclination to make such assessment.
Listen to your elected representatives, to community leaders, to industry specialists, to existing business owners, and to fellow residents. But don’t let the noise, agenda, ideology, bias, fear, urgency, or ignorance of others cloud your judgment of the real challenges at hand. Issues such as this are rarely black and white, nor are the solutions.
Upon further inspection, while I continue to stand by this statement, it’s worth acknowledging that it is far from being a complete synopsis of the issue — and was not intended to be. I lack the time, resources, and expertise to cover this topic in full. Hopefully some other worthy chap will take up the issue and give it the full attention that it deserves. Until then, this will have to do.